Oulu 1-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
4.73
X/2
14%
7.4
X/X
9%
4.86
2/1
8%
23.5
2/2
14%
5.37
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -18%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.65
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.2 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
349 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2026 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
14.09.2024 Oulu Oulu 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
14.07.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-1
AWAY FC Lahti
1.70 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
352 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu and FC Lahti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Oulu had 50% of the ball to FC Lahti's 50%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.70 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Oulu vs FC Lahti?

Oulu 1-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oulu 45%, draw 21%, FC Lahti 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oulu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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