HJK Helsinki 0-4 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.14
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
11.7
X/1
15%
5.6
X/2
12%
6.64
X/X
7%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.1
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
10%
12.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.96
+20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.6 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
478 Passes 431
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2026 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
09.11.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
19.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
20.09.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
31.05.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
0-4
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.06 xG 2.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 34
3 Shots on Target 13
8 Corners 9
236 Passes 550
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
26 Box Touches 64
18 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio swept aside HJK Helsinki 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 34% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 66%, shots finished 14-34, expected goals 1.06 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

HJK Helsinki 0-4 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 41%, draw 24%, KuPS Kuopio 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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