KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.28
X/2
11%
6.5
X/X
13%
5.06
2/1
8%
23.95
2/2
12%
4.28
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.47/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
+32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
16.6 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
411 Passes 504
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
19.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
20.09.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
31.05.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
15.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.27 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
510 Passes 373
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 28
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio and HJK Helsinki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 57% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 43%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.27 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.83 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki?

KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 41%, draw 26%, HJK Helsinki 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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