AGF Aarhus 1-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.95/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.76
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Viborg
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.21 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 6-2 HT 3-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
06.04.2026 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
22.02.2026 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 5-2 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
14.09.2025 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
09.03.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
06.10.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
1-1
AWAY Viborg
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus and Viborg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 57% of the ball to Viborg's 43%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.33 for Viborg.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Viborg?

AGF Aarhus 1-1 Viborg in the Friendlies on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 50%, draw 22%, Viborg 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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