Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-0 FC Bocholt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 61%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.30/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.62
+15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +69%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Bocholt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
30.07.2022 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 1-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1-0
AWAY FC Bocholt
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs FC Bocholt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf II nicked a narrow win over FC Bocholt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bocholt at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf II had 38% of the ball to FC Bocholt's 62%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 0.75 for FC Bocholt.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs FC Bocholt?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-0 FC Bocholt in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs FC Bocholt?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Bocholt win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 24%, draw 25%, FC Bocholt 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bocholt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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