Freiburg II 2-2 Kickers Offenbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.37/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.34
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kickers Offenbach
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
03.10.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 1-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
01.12.2019 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
23.08.2014 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-3 HT 1-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Kickers Offenbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II and Kickers Offenbach shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kickers Offenbach led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Freiburg II and 2.67 for Kickers Offenbach.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Kickers Offenbach?

Freiburg II 2-2 Kickers Offenbach in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Kickers Offenbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 38%, draw 25%, Kickers Offenbach 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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