Jeddeloh 1-0 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeddeloh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.06
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeddeloh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
30.07.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh ALMBÖL
01.10.2022 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
28.05.2022 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh 3-0 HT 3-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
10.04.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeddeloh edged past St. Pauli II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeddeloh and 0.83 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II?

Jeddeloh 1-0 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jeddeloh 34%, draw 23%, St. Pauli II 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Pauli II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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