Adelaide Comets 4-2 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-9.8pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.91/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/2.03
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Comets
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
19.08.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-3 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
20.05.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
25.02.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
06.08.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 7-0 HT 4-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
14.05.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-2 HT 3-2 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Comets saw off Adelaide United II 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adelaide Comets as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Adelaide Comets and 1.67 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide United II?

Adelaide Comets 4-2 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide Comets win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Comets 46%, draw 23%, Adelaide United II 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide Comets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide Comets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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