Monaro Panthers 2-3 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒10:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaro Panthers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.87
-18% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaro Panthers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY O Connor Knights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-3 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
13.04.2024 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
12.08.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
17.06.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
29.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
17.09.2022 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 2-0 HT 1-0 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
POST-MATCH Monaro Panthers vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights nicked a narrow win over Monaro Panthers 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Monaro Panthers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monaro Panthers and 1.33 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Monaro Panthers vs O Connor Knights?

Monaro Panthers 2-3 O Connor Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaro Panthers vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaro Panthers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monaro Panthers 43%, draw 23%, O Connor Knights 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monaro Panthers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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