Valentine Phoenix 3-1 Lambton Jaffas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
58%
Away Win
62%
-3.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Lambton Jaffas EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.08/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/0.70
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lambton Jaffas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 3-2 HT 3-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
15.07.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 1-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNSW
22.04.2023 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 2-1 HT 1-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
27.07.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
17.07.2022 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-2 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
27.06.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Lambton Jaffas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix saw off Lambton Jaffas 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lambton Jaffas at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lambton Jaffas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 1.50 for Lambton Jaffas.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Lambton Jaffas?

Valentine Phoenix 3-1 Lambton Jaffas in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Lambton Jaffas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lambton Jaffas win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 20%, draw 21%, Lambton Jaffas 58%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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