Özbekistan U23 0-1 Mısır U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.91
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.85
X/1
9%
4.22
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
5.6
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Özbekistan U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Özbekistan U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mısır U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
16.10.2023 Özbekistan U23 Özbekistan U23 1-2 Mısır U23 Mısır U23 HAZ
11.06.2019 Özbekistan U23 Özbekistan U23 3-2 HT 1-0 Mısır U23 Mısır U23 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Özbekistan U23
0-1
AWAY Mısır U23
1.03 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
431 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Özbekistan U23 vs Mısır U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır U23 edged past Özbekistan U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Özbekistan U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Özbekistan U23 had 60% of the ball to Mısır U23's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.03 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Özbekistan U23 and 2.00 for Mısır U23.

What was the final score of Özbekistan U23 vs Mısır U23?

Özbekistan U23 0-1 Mısır U23 in the Olympics on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Özbekistan U23 vs Mısır U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Özbekistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Özbekistan U23 45%, draw 25%, Mısır U23 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Özbekistan U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Özbekistan U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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