Ukrayna U23 2-1 Fas U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 27 Jul 2024

Ukrayna U23
2-1 HT 1-0
Fas U23
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Ukrayna U23 vs Fas U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.59
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
54%
1.9
4-5 Goals
16%
2.88
6+ Goals
6%
8.2
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.9 — our 54% vs market 45.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.24
1/2
3%
21.35
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.75
X/1
13%
9.09
X/2
17%
4.38
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.26
2/X
4%
13.25
Value flag · 1/X at 13.75 — our 12% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna U23 v Fas U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ukrayna U23 2-1 Fas U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna U23
2-1
AWAY Fas U23
2.30 xG 2.12
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
255 Passes 536
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ukrayna U23 vs Fas U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U23 edged past Fas U23 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fas U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ukrayna U23 had 34% of the ball to Fas U23's 66%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.30 to 2.12.

What was the final score of Ukrayna U23 vs Fas U23?

Ukrayna U23 2-1 Fas U23 in the Olympics on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna U23 vs Fas U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fas U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna U23 33%, draw 24%, Fas U23 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fas U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fas U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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