Fransa U23 1-0 Gine U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
25%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.14
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.9
2-3 Goals
40%
2.3
4-5 Goals
29%
2.4
6+ Goals
13%
4.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.31
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
3%
27.5
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
6%
29.0
X/X
6%
11.35
2/1
12%
20.7
2/2
8%
20.05
2/X
6%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
79%
-20.6pp
16%
Draw
12%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
8%
+17.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.6pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U23 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine U23 EU Bookmakers 11%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+96% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
568 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 120 · 52%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U23
1-0
AWAY Gine U23
1.58 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
397 Passes 344
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransa U23 vs Gine U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U23 edged past Gine U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fransa U23 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fransa U23 had 53% of the ball to Gine U23's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.58 to 0.58.

What was the final score of Fransa U23 vs Gine U23?

Fransa U23 1-0 Gine U23 in the Olympics on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U23 vs Gine U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fransa U23 59%, draw 16%, Gine U23 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U23) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U23) ✗ Over 2.5
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