Mjallby 2-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.93
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
17%
4.22
X/2
7%
11.55
X/X
10%
6.39
2/1
7%
20.55
2/2
9%
8.8
2/X
8%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -18%
1.42/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.62
+1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.1 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
5W-1D-0L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.11.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.07.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
24.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 1-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-1
AWAY IK Sirius
1.52 xG 1.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
430 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
54 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby nicked a narrow win over IK Sirius 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Mjallby had 57% of the ball to IK Sirius's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.52 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mjallby and 1.33 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs IK Sirius?

Mjallby 2-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 49%, draw 26%, IK Sirius 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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