Lausanne Sports 3-2 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.18
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.5
X/2
10%
9.5
X/X
12%
6.08
2/1
7%
20.5
2/2
8%
6.87
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.42/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.74
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
24.3 Crosses 12.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Winterthur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 278
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
05.12.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-3 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSVK
09.11.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
20.10.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
25.02.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
17.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
3-2
AWAY Winterthur
3.47 xG 1.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
408 Passes 228
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports squeezed past Winterthur 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lausanne Sports as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 63% of the ball to Winterthur's 37%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.47 to 1.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lausanne Sports's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lausanne Sports and 0.67 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Winterthur?

Lausanne Sports 3-2 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 48%, draw 27%, Winterthur 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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