Babelsberg 1-4 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -24%
0.80/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.41
-38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 HT 0-2 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
03.02.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.03.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena swept aside Babelsberg 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Carl Zeiss Jena made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Babelsberg and 1.17 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Babelsberg 1-4 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 34%, draw 26%, Carl Zeiss Jena 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Under 2.5
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