Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-8.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.6pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.71
-13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
28.09.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
03.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC nicked a narrow win over Greifswalder SV 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Chemnitzer FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.83 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV?

Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 31%, draw 32%, Greifswalder SV 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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