St. Pauli II 0-5 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-13.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 58%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -29%
1.33/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.17
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
25.10.2024 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
21.04.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-2 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
17.08.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-1 HT 2-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel ran out comfortable winners over St. Pauli II 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Drochtersen / Assel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.83 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

St. Pauli II 0-5 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 32%, draw 28%, Drochtersen / Assel 40%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Over 2.5
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