Tuggeranong United 2-1 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.4pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.00/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.46
-41% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
265 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gungahlin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2025 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-4 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
21.07.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 1-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
26.05.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 2-3 HT 0-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
23.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
28.05.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
02.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United nicked a narrow win over Gungahlin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gungahlin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gungahlin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tuggeranong United and 2.67 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin?

Tuggeranong United 2-1 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 32%, draw 26%, Gungahlin 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gungahlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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