Gungahlin 2-4 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.9pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 45%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.89
+14% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +69%
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
300 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gungahlin
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.07.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 1-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
26.05.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 2-3 HT 0-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
23.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
28.05.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
02.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
27.06.2021 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gungahlin vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United saw off Gungahlin 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tuggeranong United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gungahlin had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gungahlin and 0.83 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of Gungahlin vs Tuggeranong United?

Gungahlin 2-4 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gungahlin vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gungahlin 38%, draw 25%, Tuggeranong United 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gungahlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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