Hume City 3-2 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.25/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.70
-7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
235 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.0 Crosses 17.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.43 xG 2.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
190 Passes 303
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 1-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
25.05.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
17.02.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
15.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
14.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-3 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City nicked a narrow win over Green Gully 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hume City and 1.00 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Green Gully?

Hume City 3-2 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hume City 46%, draw 26%, Green Gully 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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