Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-2
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
Perth Glory and Wellington Phoenix couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perth Glory and 1.67 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?
Perth Glory 1-1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - FFA Cup on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 44%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory), Over 2.5 went the other way.