Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.73/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.82
+50% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 5-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
09.12.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
11.08.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
29.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
14.05.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 60% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 40%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.17 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 40%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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