Septemvri Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.0pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-13.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 72%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
0.83/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.44
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +58%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
09.11.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-3 HT 1-2 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
04.05.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-2
AWAY Levski Sofia
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Septemvri Sofia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 40% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 60%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.67 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 18%, draw 27%, Levski Sofia 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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