FC Nordsjaelland 0-1 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.97
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
7%
21.9
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
15%
7.17
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
12%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
20%
2.88
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.50/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.46
+26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
14.5 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Brondby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
592 Passes 381
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
18.04.2025 Brondby Brondby 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
10.11.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
30.09.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 HT 4-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
15.05.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
28.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
0-1
AWAY Brondby
1.45 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
600 Passes 494
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby nicked a narrow win over FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Brondby made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 55% of the ball to Brondby's 45%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.45 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Nordsjaelland.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.00 for Brondby.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

FC Nordsjaelland 0-1 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 38%, draw 24%, Brondby 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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