Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.24/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.32
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.4 Crosses 13.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
23.11.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-2 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.10.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
25.07.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
19.06.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
01.09.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
0-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.78 xG 1.20
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
370 Passes 219
32 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Barcelona SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.78 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barcelona SC.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Barcelona SC and 2.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito?

Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 45%, draw 26%, LDU Quito 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
27 Jul 2026
22:00 Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Analysis →