Mushuc Runa 0-2 Libertad (Ekvador) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mushuc Runa The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad (Ekvador) The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.21 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.79
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Libertad (Ekvador)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.03 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
238 Passes 211
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2026 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 2-2 HT 1-2 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
09.08.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
19.04.2025 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 2-1 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
26.09.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKVK
03.08.2024 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 2-2 HT 1-2 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
02.03.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 0-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
REVIEW Mushuc Runa vs Libertad (Ekvador)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Libertad (Ekvador) beat Mushuc Runa 2-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mushuc Runa at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Mushuc Runa against 1.67 for Libertad (Ekvador).

Mushuc Runa vs Libertad (Ekvador) Result & Final Score

Mushuc Runa 0 - 2 Libertad (Ekvador) in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mushuc Runa vs Libertad (Ekvador) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 67%, draw 20%, Libertad (Ekvador) 13%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
27 Jul 2026
03:15 Barcelona SC vs LDU Quito Analysis →