Libertad vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Libertad 2-2 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad and Mushuc Runa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Libertad had 57% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 43%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad and 1.50 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Mushuc Runa?
Libertad 2-2 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Libertad 43%, draw 25%, Mushuc Runa 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5 went the other way.