FSV Zwickau 1-0 Hallescher FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.98/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.67
+44% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +91%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hallescher FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
24.07.2022 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-2 HT 2-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
11.02.2022 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 2-0 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
15.09.2021 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-2 HT 1-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
06.02.2021 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-2 HT 2-1 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
12.10.2020 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Hallescher FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau squeezed past Hallescher FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hallescher FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.33 for Hallescher FC.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Hallescher FC?

FSV Zwickau 1-0 Hallescher FC in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Hallescher FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hallescher FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 30%, draw 26%, Hallescher FC 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hallescher FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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