Boulogne 1-1 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.94
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
12%
5.45
X/2
8%
5.34
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
18%
3.83
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.00/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.01
-21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nancy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
13.03.2010 Nancy Nancy 1-3 HT 1-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR1
31.10.2009 Boulogne Boulogne 1-2 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR1
25.09.2007 Nancy Nancy 3-0 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
1-1
AWAY Nancy
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne and Nancy shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boulogne had 43% of the ball to Nancy's 57%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nancy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boulogne and 2.00 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Nancy?

Boulogne 1-1 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 34%, draw 32%, Nancy 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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