Concarneau 1-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 38% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.07
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
22%
4.54
X/2
13%
6.47
X/X
12%
4.18
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
8%
5.04
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.0pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.87
-8% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
1-1
AWAY Rouen
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau and Rouen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Concarneau at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Concarneau had 41% of the ball to Rouen's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Rouen?

Concarneau 1-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 44%, draw 27%, Rouen 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Concarneau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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