Bourg en Bresse 01 0-3 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.48
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.79
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
12%
6.26
X/X
19%
3.96
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
11%
5.05
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.13
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.03.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
21.10.2022 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-2 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico ran out comfortable winners over Bourg en Bresse 01 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Paris 13 Atletico found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paris 13 Atletico led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.50 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Bourg en Bresse 01 0-3 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 38%, draw 33%, Paris 13 Atletico 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
27 Sep 2024
20:30 Quevilly vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
20:30 Concarneau vs Rouen Analysis →
20:30 Boulogne vs Nancy Analysis →
20:30 Villefranche vs Nimes Analysis →
20:30 Dijon vs Aubagne Analysis →
20:30 Sochaux vs Orleans Analysis →