Dijon 1-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
15%
3.79
X/2
8%
9.52
X/X
18%
4.77
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.9
2/X
6%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.80/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.33
+9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
1-0
AWAY Aubagne
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon squeezed past Aubagne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dijon had 55% of the ball to Aubagne's 45%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Aubagne?

Dijon 1-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dijon 47%, draw 31%, Aubagne 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✓ Under 2.5
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