Gillingham vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gillingham v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gillingham 0-1 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Harrogate Town shaded a tight game against Gillingham 1-0 on their travels.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gillingham at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Gillingham's favour, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.18 to 0.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gillingham.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Gillingham against 1.67 for Harrogate Town.
Gillingham vs Harrogate Town Result & Final Score
Gillingham 0 - 1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gillingham vs Harrogate Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 58%, draw 25%, Harrogate Town 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gillingham) went the other way.