Harrogate Town 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.59
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.21
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
9%
5.39
X/X
20%
3.6
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
4.28
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.22
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 64%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.0 Crosses 21.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.21 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
257 Passes 269
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
01.04.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 5-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
09.09.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
04.03.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
16.08.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.76 xG 1.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
153 Passes 151
55% Pass Accuracy 55%
16 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 50% of the ball to Gillingham's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.76 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Harrogate Town and 0.60 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Gillingham?

Harrogate Town 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 35%, draw 32%, Gillingham 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Harrogate Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harrogate Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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