Walsall 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.54
Over 2.5
29%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
14%
4.95
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 44% vs market 36.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.98
X/2
13%
6.23
X/X
16%
3.75
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
16%
4.98
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.6pp
29%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.7pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.37/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 64%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.7 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
3W-0D-3L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
172 Passes 266
57% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
23.09.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-3 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
28.03.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
08.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
12.02.2019 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
21.08.2018 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-3 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.30 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
139 Passes 223
53% Pass Accuracy 66%
36 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walsall vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and AFC Wimbledon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Walsall had 47% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 53%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.30 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walsall and 1.33 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Walsall vs AFC Wimbledon?

Walsall 1-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Walsall 36%, draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walsall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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