Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

Crewe Alexandra
0-1 HT 0-0
Port Vale
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.34
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
17%
5.75
X/2
8%
5.31
X/X
19%
3.93
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.85
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.28/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 70%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.2 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Port Vale
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
372 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
05.09.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İNTK
29.08.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İNLK
02.11.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
06.04.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
22.09.2018 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2

Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-1
AWAY Port Vale
1.35 xG 1.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
247 Passes 115
70% Pass Accuracy 56%
25 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale squeezed past Crewe Alexandra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Port Vale found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 63% of the ball to Port Vale's 37%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.35 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.83 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale?

Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 35%, draw 34%, Port Vale 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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