Marbella 1-1 Real Betis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.68
Over
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.59
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
21%
4.04
6+
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.61/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.09
+17% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Betis II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Real Betis II Real Betis II 2-1 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
14.12.2024 Marbella Marbella 2-2 HT 0-0 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
07.04.2024 Real Betis II Real Betis II 5-1 HT 4-0 Marbella Marbella İS4
26.11.2023 Marbella Marbella 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-1
AWAY Real Betis II
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Real Betis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella and Real Betis II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marbella at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Marbella had 53% of the ball to Real Betis II's 47%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Betis II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marbella and 2.75 for Real Betis II.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Real Betis II?

Marbella 1-1 Real Betis II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Real Betis II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Marbella 48%, draw 27%, Real Betis II 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marbella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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