İA Akranes 3-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.83
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
14%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-7.1pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
2.00/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.84
+29% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
24.2 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.49 xG 2.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 6
227 Passes 356
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.04.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 5-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
01.09.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-2 HT 3-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
18.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.09.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-4 HT 2-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
3-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.71 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
158 Passes 168
57% Pass Accuracy 60%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes nicked a narrow win over KR Reykjavik 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İA Akranes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 49% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.71 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İA Akranes and 2.83 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?

İA Akranes 3-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 44%, draw 22%, KR Reykjavik 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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