FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.58
6+ Goals
16%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.09/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.47
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
25.6 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Breidablik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 352
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 4-5 HT 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
25.05.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
29.09.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
28.06.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
08.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
13.02.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-3 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1
AWAY Breidablik
1.78 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 10
209 Passes 279
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 36
21 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and Breidablik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 44% of the ball to Breidablik's 56%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.78 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.33 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 39%, draw 24%, Breidablik 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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