Toronto FC 1-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Sep 2025

Toronto FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Inter Miami
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.87
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
6.86
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
19.05
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
8%
9.76
X/2
11%
4.41
X/X
15%
6.6
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
36%
2.06
2/X
4%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.05 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
22%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
57%
Away Win
57%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toronto FC v Inter Miami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.10/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.59
-14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
12.7 Crosses 10.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.17 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
399 Passes 484
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
05.10.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
09.08.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3 HT 3-2 Toronto FC Toronto FC CONLK
18.07.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
21.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
19.03.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD

Toronto FC 1-1 Inter Miami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
1-1
AWAY Inter Miami
1.44 xG 1.54
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
313 Passes 513
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Toronto FC and Inter Miami shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 27 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Toronto FC had 38% of the ball to Inter Miami's 62%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.44 to 1.54.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toronto FC and 2.17 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?

Toronto FC 1-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 17%, draw 26%, Inter Miami 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ BTTS Yes
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