Velez Mostar 1-3 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
16%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.5pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.02/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.60
-7% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +56%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
01.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.09.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
13.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
13.11.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
18.10.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 3-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar saw off Velez Mostar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.17 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Velez Mostar 1-3 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 27%, draw 31%, Zrinjski Mostar 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
27 Sep 2025
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