Forge 4-0 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
76%
-0.6pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.9pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.32/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.98
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -18%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
15.1 Crosses 11.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.20 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
419 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
25.05.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
13.04.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
19.10.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
31.08.2024 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
15.07.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
4-0
AWAY Pacific FC
2.76 xG 0.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
483 Passes 377
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
42 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge cruised past Pacific FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Forge had 56% of the ball to Pacific FC's 44%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.76 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forge and 0.33 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Forge vs Pacific FC?

Forge 4-0 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Forge 75%, draw 17%, Pacific FC 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
27 Sep 2025
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