Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.66/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.27
+4% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
13.0 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cavalry
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 362
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-2 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
29.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
16.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.08.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3-0
AWAY Cavalry
1.78 xG 2.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
434 Passes 309
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa swept aside Cavalry 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 57% of the ball to Cavalry's 43%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.78 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.33 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 48%, draw 25%, Cavalry 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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