Atletico Ottawa 2-2 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +23%
1.48/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.13
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
14.8 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cavalry
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
16.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.08.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
22.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
20.04.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-2
AWAY Cavalry
1.77 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
475 Passes 272
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and Cavalry shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 62% of the ball to Cavalry's 38%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.77 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.17 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Atletico Ottawa 2-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 33%, draw 26%, Cavalry 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5
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