York United 5-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.79/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.06
+55% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.7 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-3 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
11.05.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-1 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
24.10.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
11.10.2024 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
03.08.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
20.06.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
5-1
AWAY Pacific FC
2.93 xG 0.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
472 Passes 420
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 5
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York United vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United cruised past Pacific FC 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, York United had 52% of the ball to Pacific FC's 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.93 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for York United and 1.00 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of York United vs Pacific FC?

York United 5-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split York United 48%, draw 28%, Pacific FC 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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