Gaziantep FK 2-2 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.78
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.53
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.99
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -2%
1.46/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.17
+16% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.4 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.68 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
18.08.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
29.09.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.01.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
13.08.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-2
AWAY Samsunspor
2.40 xG 0.99
70% Ball Possession 30%
30 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 7
456 Passes 148
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Samsunspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 70% of the ball to Samsunspor's 30%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 2.40 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gaziantep FK and 0.83 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?

Gaziantep FK 2-2 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 36%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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