One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
One Knoxville v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
One Knoxville
USL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
One Knoxville 1-0 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Charlotte Independence 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, One Knoxville had 65% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 35%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.05 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold One Knoxville's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for One Knoxville and 1.50 for Charlotte Independence.
What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
One Knoxville 1-0 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 48%, draw 27%, Charlotte Independence 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.