Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.48
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.6
X/1
24%
3.4
X/2
7%
20.85
X/X
8%
7.66
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
6%
16.75
2/X
7%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.80/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.44
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.5 Crosses 10.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.26 xG 0.38
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
09.08.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
09.05.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
30.12.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
09.10.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
04.09.2020 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2-2
AWAY Shenzhen FC
3.12 xG 1.07
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
417 Passes 137
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
46 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Shenzhen FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Shanghai Shenhua carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 69% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 31%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 3.12 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.17 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 63%, draw 20%, Shenzhen FC 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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