CSKA 1948 Sofia 5-4 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 49%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.46/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.35
-56% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
16.12.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
28.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
11.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.03.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
5-4
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia nicked a narrow win over Ludogorets Razgrad 5-4. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 39% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 61%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 2.50 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 5-4 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 31%, draw 26%, Ludogorets Razgrad 42%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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